Over the past two weeks, our entire family has been glued every day to the news of the kids in the cave in Mae Sai area in Northern Thailand.

We started thinking of ways in which the kids could be brought out and one idea that came up was to build a water proof chamber connected to inflatable pipes that could push air into it and also suck out water from it.

If the pipes can be made big enough for the kids to crawl out that would be the best scenario, even otherwise, if we can have them safe in the chamber for a few months, that could be the next best alternative.

Here is the design we can up with based on our understanding of the situation.

Btw, this could be nothing when compared to the amazing escape pod that Elon Musk and his team are thinking of, which could be a kid sized submarine to help the kids come out safely.

Lets hope for the best.

In the past few months, I have been meeting various members of the farming community in India to understand the root cause of their issues.

This is one classic example of ‘peeling the onion’ story where as you learn more and more about the issues of the farmers, you see layers and layers of problems surrounding it.

Some of the classic issues related to farmers are:

1. Economies of Scale: Farmers in India mainly comprise of marginal farmers and hence they do not have economies of scale working on their side.

2. Local Traders Grip Over The Farmers: Farmers get loans from local traders who give it at 36% interest rate and when they are unable to repay the loan, they end up pledging their farms to the same traders and after a generation or two, become farmers whose lands are permanently under debt. On top of this, in most cases, these traders are the ones to whom they are forced to sell their produce to the traders at the rates fixed by the traders.

3. Government Officers: In many areas, the Government has appointed officers to help the farmers improve their profits by understanding the bottlenecks in the supply chain and removing them. Instead of doing that, many of the officers have learnt how to make the most of the situation and get a good amount of commission in this supply chain.

4. Mandis: The Government is also trying to organise Mandis (farmers market) where farmers can sell their produce for a good rate. Instead of helping, most of these Mandi owners have started dictating the price of the produce and make sure this is retained for generations together.

5. More Emotions Less Data: Farmers continue doing farming using emotional parameters to decide on the crop and have never looked at it as a business. Due to this, their decisions are emotion based and not fact based. There are farmers around the world who use business driven parameters such as shorter days to maturity, high yield per acre, higher price per kilo, long harvest period, popularity etc before deciding on the crop. In India, it is mainly based on what the neighbours decide to plant.

6. Lack of Technology: Due to their lack of technology expertise, the farmers do not have much information about best practices, techniques etc used in the other states and the rest of the world. Due to this, they are not familiar with many of the techniques which have now become basic necessities in farming in the western world.

Dr.M.S.Swaminathan had led a initiative on this topic and come up with a set of excellent points which cover a lot more than the examples listed above.

The most fascinating thing that pulled me towards the farmers topic was the fact that there are farmers in western world who make 300,000USD (1.8Cr INR) per year from one acre of land. A farmer in India makes about 5,000 to 10,000 Rupees (INR) per month, which translates to a maximum of 2000USD (1.2L INR) per year. In simple terms, a farmer in a developed country makes 300 times more profit yearly when compared to his counterpart in India. Such a gap in this number is not seen in any other industry across the world. Hence I made a simple promise to myself that if I can reduce this to say 30 times, that itself means the farmers make 10 times of what they are making today.

As I spend more time understanding the issues, it is very obvious that this industry is ripe for disruption. With focus on 100% transparency in the entire ecosystem and the objective to help the farmer get 10 times more than what they are making today, I have started this journey to build a ecosystem for the farmers where all players can interact with minimum wastage in the middle. In this ecosystem, the farmer will be person in control and will decide the prices (exactly like how a producer like BMW decides on the selling price for their cars). All other players will have the freedom to play within their boundaries, but at the end of the day, the farmer will no longer be at the mercy of any other middleman.

Will keep updating here as the journey progresses. Keeping my fingers crossed 🙂

A friend of mine who practices medicine in New York had shared an article about Dr.Atul Gawande chosen as the CEO of the new medical initiative jointly started by Dimon – Buffett – Bezos trio.

As luck would have it, I stumbled upon the link to The Cost Conundrum, an amazing article written in 2009 by Dr.Gawande (link available at the end) about how a small town called McAllen, in Texas, had one of the highest healthcare cost per person. Dr.Gawande goes on to explain in detail about his experiences while trying to understand the rationale behind such high costs. It leads him to come across various factors such as corruption, healthcare-as-a-business thought process which leads to seeing the patient as an ATM.

The patterns that emerge are just mind boggling. It is not about doing anything unethical. Some of his observations even shows that based on where you practiced or how you were taught, the prescriptions varied and hence the cost. I have always thought of LTV (Life Time Value of a customer) costs in SaaS models that I work on every day, but this article made me think of a new term, LSV (Lifetime Squeezable Value) of a patient. LSV might be too harsh when you look at it from one angle about the noble profession, but the minute you step into the shoes of a number driven game played by many doctors around the world, LSV might not look so bad.

He also compares it with his experience with a health care provider called Mayo, where in one incident he says how a surgeon just came by to sit and discuss the options available for the patient to make sure the best possible care and solution is given. When money is not the primary driving factor, the noble profession seems to get back its honour that we always attributed physicians with.

The news is that Charlie Munger sent him a check for 20K USD after reading the article, which was sent to a charity by Dr.Gawande. I am sure Charlie must have become a big fan of his and told him: Please implement all your ideas here in the new venture. I wish Dr.Gawande was recognised much earlier by the Govt and pushed him to do the same for the country instead of coming up with ‘same wine in a new bottle’-care every four to eight years.

The events at McAllen in the healthcare sector is so similar to what is happening in the private hospitals in India. The public hospitals in India are in step one, while step two involves bringing world class setup and doctors to public hospitals and then step three is about how to make sure we do not go the McAllen way. Meanwhile, at the moment, the private hospitals are in step three and it makes me ponder what would it take to get India to have Mayo kind of experience. Time to think about the opportunities here to make the profession noble again.

Link to the 2009 article: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2009/06/01/the-cost-conundrum

Alex in Wonderland is a stand up tamil comedy show by an individual named Alex.

When I was given the tickets for Alex in Wonderland, I did not know what to expect and hence went in with an open mind.

Alex in Wonderland is around the theme of Tamil movie music and if you are from the 1970s/1980s, you will love it as you can relate to it much better.

My exposure to stand up comedy has only been by watching Saturday Night Live most of the time and also watching a few episodes by Russell Peters and a few others. My view had been that adult jokes and making fun of people, ethnicity and religion were what made up a stand up comedy show.

Alex in Wonderland gave a new meaning to my view on stand up comedies.

His clarity of thought and humility in the approach while delivering the message is what makes him click.

Alex is a classic example of those who have unique skills and stand apart from the crowd of “me too” stand up comedians.

Highly recommend this show to any one who can understand Tamil. If you have a fascination for Tamil movie music, you will love his show. Hope you enjoy it.